Sunday, February 9, 2020

"Coronavirus disrupts China meat imports, food supply during pork shortage"

From Reuters via CNBC, February 6:
Coronavirus is disrupting meat shipments to China as the country faces a shortage due to an outbreak of a fatal pig disease, Tyson Foods Inc and U.S. agricultural groups said on Thursday.

An outbreak of African swine fever, which infects only pigs, has decimated China’s herd, pushing Chinese pork prices to record highs and increasing the need for meat imports.

However, coronavirus - which has killed 563 people so far - is keeping consumers and workers at home in China, delaying purchases at stores and restaurants and slowing the unloading of products at ports.

The disruption exasperates Beijing’s efforts to ensure adequate meat supplies and the plans of global companies like Tyson and JBS SA to profit from the shortage. The dual disease outbreaks also highlight the problems facing import-dependant China in its efforts to feed its population.
“There’s been disruptions at the ports,” Tyson Chief Executive Noel White said on a call with analysts. “That has skewed shipments, receivals.”

China has increased meat imports from the United States, Europe and Brazil as African swine fever has killed up to half its pigs since August 2018.

Beijing pledged to increase purchases of U.S. farm goods in an initial trade deal last month, raising traders’ expectations for more pork shipments. China also eased restrictions on U.S. beef imports and in November lifted a ban on U.S. poultry meat shipments.

But coronavirus has clouded the outlook for Chinese demand, White said, as cities have been quarantined. He said Tyson is still shipping meat to China and has orders on its books.
“Once we get past the coronavirus incident, whenever that might be, I do think there is going to be very strong demand,” he said....
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And for no particular reason here are China's fish and seafood import/export numbers for 2019, From Fish Information and Services:
Fish and shellfish import and export statistics (Jan-Dec 2019)
https://fis.com/attach_fck/2020020604ING%20-%20China-Importacion%20y%20exportacion%20de%20pescados%20y%20mariscos.jpg


The thinking is that China will export less in an effort to supply home market demand for protein, leaving room for other exporters to attempt to take market share (hint, hint)
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